{"id":44265,"date":"2024-12-16T23:25:01","date_gmt":"2024-12-16T15:25:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/114.34.37.161:8080\/?p=44265"},"modified":"2025-12-03T03:48:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T19:48:47","slug":"kelly-formula","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/kelly-formula\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i:&nbsp;H\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t r\u1ee7i ro"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"44265\" class=\"elementor elementor-44265\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-269e637 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"269e637\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a5b4600 elementor-widget elementor-widget-html translation-block\" data-id=\"a5b4600\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\"><span>\n<div style=\"padding:16px\">\n <h2><b>Trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi hai th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n C\u00e1ch qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t r\u1ee7i ro giao d\u1ecbch. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly (Kelly Criterion) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n trong khi gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chi ti\u1ebft nguy\u00ean l\u00fd c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly, kh\u00e1m ph\u00e1 c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 trong qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i.\n <br><br>\n <h3><b>Nguy\u00ean l\u00fd c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h3>\n C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u cho m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch, nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a v\u1ed1n d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c nh\u01b0 sau:&nbsp;\n <br><br>\n <b>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c:<\/b>&nbsp;\n f* = (bp - q) \/ b \n <br>\n <ul>\n <li><b>f*:<\/b>&nbsp;T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u (t\u00ednh theo ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m t\u1ed5ng v\u1ed1n).<\/li>\n <li><b>b:<\/b>&nbsp;T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trung b\u00ecnh tr\u00ean m\u1ed7i \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb thua l\u1ed7).<\/li>\n <li><b>p:<\/b>&nbsp;T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng (x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t giao d\u1ecbch th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng).<\/li>\n <li><b>q:<\/b>&nbsp;T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 thua (x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i, q = 1 - p).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n <br>\n <b>M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c:<\/b>&nbsp;\n Th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c xem x\u00e9t t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng, c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng gi\u1eefa r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.\n <br><br>\n <h4><b>V\u00ed d\u1ee5 \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng:&nbsp;T\u00ednh to\u00e1n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n Gi\u1ea3 s\u1eed chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 sau:&nbsp;\n <br>\n <ul>\n <li><b>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cho m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch (b):<\/b>&nbsp;1, c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n th\u1eafng l\u00e0 1 l\u1ea7n thua.<\/li>\n <li><b>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng (p):<\/b>&nbsp;60%, t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t giao d\u1ecbch th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng l\u00e0 0.6.<\/li>\n <li><b>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 thua (q):<\/b>&nbsp;40%, t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i l\u00e0 0.4 (q = 1 - p).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n <br>\n Thay th\u1ebf c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb n\u00e0y v\u00e0o c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c:&nbsp;\n <blockquote>\n f* = [ (1 \u00d7 0.6) - 0.4] \/ 1 <br>\n f* = (0.6 - 0.4) \/ 1 <br>\n f* = 0.2\n<\/blockquote>\n\n <b>K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3:<\/b>&nbsp;\n Theo c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly, b\u1ea1n n\u00ean ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 20% t\u1ed5ng v\u1ed1n v\u00e0o giao d\u1ecbch n\u00e0y. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.\n <br><br>\n <img class=\"size-medium wp-image-44266 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/mister.forex\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Kelly_bet-500x402.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"402\">\n <br><br>\n Khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 c\u01b0\u1ee3c trong c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp l\u00e0 1, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n l\u00e0 20%, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch n\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 20% t\u1ed5ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed1i \u0111a; n\u1ebfu t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 cao h\u01a1n ho\u1eb7c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb n\u00e0y, s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c t\u1ed1i \u01b0u, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 qu\u00e1 cao l\u00e0m t\u0103ng r\u1ee7i ro, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 qu\u00e1 th\u1ea5p th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ed1n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n khoa h\u1ecdc, v\u00e0 l\u00e0m n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn.\n <br><br>\n <h3><b>\u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h3>\n <h4><b>1. C\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i c\u00f3 t\u00ednh bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao, c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u1ed1n trong c\u00e1c t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1c nhau, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 r\u1ee7i ro giao d\u1ecbch.\n <br><br>\n <b>V\u00ed d\u1ee5:<\/b>&nbsp;\n <ul>\n <li>Khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cao, c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly khuy\u00ean n\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ed1n h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 theo \u0111u\u1ed5i l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cao h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n <li>Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng ho\u1eb7c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn kh\u00f4ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng 50% c\u1ee7a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Kelly l\u00e0m t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n <br>\n <h4><b>2. K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n <ul>\n <li><b>Thu th\u1eadp d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c:<\/b>&nbsp;\u0110\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u1ea7n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u1ec1 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn, do \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch n\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ef3 h\u1ed3 s\u01a1 giao d\u1ecbch.<\/li>\n <li><b>\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed9ng:<\/b>&nbsp;C\u1eadp nh\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn theo s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/li>\n <li><b>Gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c:<\/b>&nbsp;Trong th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, n\u00ean gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro do \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c g\u00e2y ra.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n <br>\n <h4><b>3. \u1ee8ng d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf trong c\u00e1c t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n <ul>\n <li><b>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng:<\/b>&nbsp;Ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ed1n h\u01a1n trong c\u00e1c t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn cao.<\/li>\n <li><b>Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch trong ng\u00e0y:<\/b>&nbsp;\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi giao d\u1ecbch ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u1ea9n th\u1eadn, v\u00ec s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn sai l\u1ec7ch trong k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n <br>\n <h3><b>Vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t r\u1ee7i ro giao d\u1ecbch<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h3>\n <h4><b>\u01afu \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n <ul>\n <li><b>C\u01a1 s\u1edf to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc cho qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i:<\/b>&nbsp;C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i.<\/li>\n <li><b>C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng t\u1ed1i \u01b0u gi\u1eefa r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn:<\/b>&nbsp;C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 r\u1ee7i ro c\u1ee7a t\u1eebng giao d\u1ecbch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n <br>\n <h4><b>Th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h4>\n <ul>\n <li><b>Ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o d\u1eef li\u1ec7u:<\/b>&nbsp;\u0110\u1ed9 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c c\u1ee7a t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ea7n c\u1ea9n th\u1eadn trong vi\u1ec7c thu th\u1eadp v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u.<\/li>\n <li><b>Can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ea3m x\u00fac:<\/b>&nbsp;Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhanh ch\u00f3ng, c\u1ea3m x\u00fac c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u1ed1n, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn sai l\u1ec7ch so v\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n <br>\n <h3><b>C\u00e1ch t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h3>\n <ul>\n <li><b>S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng giao d\u1ecbch m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra:<\/b>&nbsp;C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong giao d\u1ecbch m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng, l\u00e0m quen v\u1edbi c\u00e1ch qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i b\u1eb1ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly.<\/li>\n <li><b>K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro kh\u00e1c:<\/b>&nbsp;K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 di \u0111\u1ed9ng, ph\u00e2n t\u00e1n t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro giao d\u1ecbch h\u01a1n n\u1eefa.<\/li>\n <li><b>\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0:<\/b>&nbsp;\u0110i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n b\u1edfi c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly theo s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, tr\u00e1nh thua l\u1ed7 qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c do s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n <br>\n <h3><b>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h3>\n C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p cho vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u01b0u h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn trong giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ph\u1ea3i gi\u1eef t\u00ednh linh ho\u1ea1t khi \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly. Th\u00f4ng qua ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 v\u1ed1n, b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro trong giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ed1n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.\n <br><br>\n N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n mu\u1ed1n t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u th\u00eam v\u1ec1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t r\u1ee7i ro giao d\u1ecbch, h\u00e3y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo d\u00f5i n\u1ed9i dung c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i!\n <br><br>\n <hr>\n <h3><b>C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eb7p:&nbsp;V\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i<\/b>&nbsp;<\/h3>\n <ul>\n <li><b>Q1:&nbsp;C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u00f3 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i kh\u00f4ng?<\/b>&nbsp;<br>A1:&nbsp;C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n ho\u1eb7c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f3 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly do d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kh\u00f4ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/li>\n <br>\n <li><b>Q2:&nbsp;N\u1ebfu t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n b\u1edfi c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n r\u1ee7i ro c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn th\u00ec ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m sao?<\/b>&nbsp;<br>A2:&nbsp;Khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n b\u1edfi c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly qu\u00e1 cao, b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecdn l\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c (nh\u01b0 50% ho\u1eb7c 25%) l\u00e0m t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u r\u1ee7i ro trong khi v\u1eabn gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh khoa h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n.<\/li>\n <br>\n <li><b>Q3:&nbsp;T\u1ea1i sao n\u00ean s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i?<\/b>&nbsp;<br>A3:&nbsp;C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn, v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c ho\u1eb7c kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7, \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong giao d\u1ecbch d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/li>\n <br>\n <li><b>Q4:&nbsp;S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u1ea7n nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n ti\u00ean quy\u1ebft n\u00e0o?<\/b>&nbsp;<br>A4:&nbsp;S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u1ea7n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu bao g\u1ed3m t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng (p) v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (b). N\u1ebfu nh\u1eefng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c, k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb tham kh\u1ea3o.<\/li>\n <br>\n <li><b>Q5:&nbsp;N\u1ebfu m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t thay \u0111\u1ed5i, li\u1ec7u k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u00f3 c\u00f2n \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng kh\u00f4ng?<\/b>&nbsp;<br>A5:&nbsp;Khi m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng x\u1ea3y ra thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i theo, do \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ea7n t\u00ednh to\u00e1n l\u1ea1i t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly, \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u1ed1n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/li>\n <br>\n <li><b>Q6:&nbsp;C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/b>&nbsp;<br>A6:&nbsp;Trong giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n b\u1edfi c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly n\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho v\u1ed1n th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf (kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i v\u1ed1n sau \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y), v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh theo \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh r\u1ee7i ro qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c.<\/li>\n <br>\n <li><b>Q7:&nbsp;C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn giao d\u1ecbch kh\u00f4ng?<\/b>&nbsp;<br>A7:&nbsp;C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn, v\u00ec t\u00ednh ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn thua l\u1ed7. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ed1n d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n r\u1ee7i ro c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t.<\/li>\n <br>\n <li><b>Q8:&nbsp;T\u00f4i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ng\u01b0\u1eddi m\u1edbi, n\u00ean b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o?<\/b>&nbsp;<br>A8:&nbsp;Ng\u01b0\u1eddi m\u1edbi n\u00ean t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 ghi l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ee7 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u giao d\u1ecbch l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1eafng v\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn. Th\u1eed nghi\u1ec7m hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly trong giao d\u1ecbch v\u1edbi s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n nh\u1ecf ho\u1eb7c giao d\u1ecbch m\u00f4 ph\u1ecfng, d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n l\u00e0m quen v\u1edbi \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/span><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-78440ba elementor-widget elementor-widget-template\" data-id=\"78440ba\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"template.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-template\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"container\" data-elementor-id=\"49848\" class=\"elementor elementor-49848\" data-elementor-post-type=\"elementor_library\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-43b58eaa e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"43b58eaa\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-83f27ac elementor-widget elementor-widget-html translation-block\" data-id=\"83f27ac\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\"><span>\n<strong style=\"font-size: 1.2em\">\nXin ch\u00e0o, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i l\u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/about-us\/\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"text-decoration: underline\">\u0110\u1ed9i ng\u0169 Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Mr.Forex<\/a><\/strong><br>\n\nGiao d\u1ecbch kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n t\u01b0 duy \u0111\u00fang \u0111\u1eafn m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea7n c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 v\u00e0 th\u00f4ng tin h\u1eefu \u00edch. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00f4i gi\u1edbi to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng giao d\u1ecbch (MT4 \/ MT5, EA, VPS) v\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng forex th\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn b\u1ea1n n\u1eafm v\u1eefng \"h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng\" c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng giao d\u1ecbch chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eeb con s\u1ed1 kh\u00f4ng.<br>\n<br>\n\n<strong>N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n mu\u1ed1n chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft sang th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh:<\/strong><br>\n1. H\u00e3y chia s\u1ebb b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1ea5y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt.<br>\n2. \u0110\u1ecdc th\u00eam c\u00e1c b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn <a href=\"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/category\/learn-forex\/\" target=\"_blank\">H\u1ecdc Forex<\/a>.\n<\/span><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>C\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c Kelly l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u1ed1n to\u00e1n h\u1ecdc, th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 v\u1ed1n t\u1ed1i \u01b0u, gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n trong khi ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t r\u1ee7i ro, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi giao d\u1ecbch theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro, v\u00e0 c\u1ea7n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a d\u1eef li\u1ec7u.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":44267,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,83,89],"tags":[128],"class_list":["post-44265","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forex-terms","category-learn-forex","category-risk-management","tag-no-google"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44265","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44265\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44267"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mister.forex\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}